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CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 10, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
New England Revolution

America
5 - 2
New England

Valdes (21'), Quinones (33'), Martin (45+3'), Zendejas (57'), Rodriguez (76' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Vrioni (65', 90+2')
Kessler (49'), Spaulding (89'), Kaye (90')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Club America and New England Revolution.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 America
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX

New England Revolution

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: New England 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawNew England Revolution
62.2% (0.105 0.11) 19.71% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.09% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (0.067999999999998 0.07)35.76% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.072999999999993 0.07)57.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (0.052000000000007 0.05)11.06% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.59% (0.10199999999999 0.1)35.41% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)33.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (-0.029 -0.03)69.64% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Club America 62.2%
    New England Revolution 18.09%
    Draw 19.71%
Club AmericaDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.015999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.71%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 18.09%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
New England
0-4
America

Polster (20'), Vrioni (44'), Mensah (60')
Martin (16'), Zendejas (24'), Calderon (63'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Calderon (44')
rhs 2.0
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