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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
34.78% | 27.05% | 38.18% |
Both teams to score 50.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% | 54.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% | 75.97% |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% | 29.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% | 65.92% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% | 27.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% | 63.36% |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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