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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
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Coventry
2 - 1
Leeds

Simms (9'), Wright (49')
Bidwell (62'), Sheaf (71'), Simms (88'), Eccles (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piroe (76')
Gruev (8'), Ampadu (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-2 Leeds United

With Coventry generally strong at the CBS Arena, they should give a good account of themselves on Saturday. Nevertheless, we would back Leeds to defeat anyone in the division right now, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
38.3% (-2.248 -2.25) 24.79% (1.237 1.24) 36.91% (1.019 1.02)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-4.485 -4.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (-5.869 -5.87)44.7% (5.875 5.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-5.921 -5.92)67.06% (5.928 5.93)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-3.631 -3.63)23.14% (3.639 3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-5.622 -5.62)57.01% (5.629 5.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-2.13 -2.13)23.88% (2.138 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-3.155 -3.16)58.08% (3.163 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 38.3%
    Leeds United 36.91%
    Draw 24.79%
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.09% (1.156 1.16)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.575 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.411 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.385 -0.39)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 11.58% (1.01 1.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-0 @ 5.53% (1.285 1.29)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.415 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.225 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.92% (1.444 1.44)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.731 0.73)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.457 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.195 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.91%

How you voted: Coventry vs Leeds

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
33.3%
Leeds United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
1-1
Coventry
Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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