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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Leicester City |
41.6% ( -0) | 23.75% ( -0) | 34.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.99% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% ( 0.02) | 40.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( 0.02) | 62.39% ( -0.02) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.01) | 19.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.01) | 51.45% ( -0.01) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( 0.01) | 22.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.26% ( 0.02) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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