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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burnley logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Burnley

Hogan (80')
Chong (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berg Gudmundsson (74')
Cork (44'), Zaroury (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Burnley

Burnley are in sensational form as they travel to St Andrew's but Birmingham will not be broken down as easily as Swansea were on Saturday afternoon. Eustace's team have fared well against the higher-ranked sides in the Championship and a clash with the Clarets under the floodlights will be a challenge Blues relish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
19.41% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 24% (0.323 0.32) 56.59% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-1.047 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-1.342 -1.34)52.48% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-1.163 -1.16)74.15% (1.161 1.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-0.853 -0.85)41.44% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.759 -0.76)77.94% (0.758 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.592 -0.59)18.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-1.011 -1.01)49.52% (1.009 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 19.41%
    Burnley 56.58%
    Draw 23.99%
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burnley

Birmingham City
20.5%
Draw
19.2%
Burnley
60.3%
73
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Birmingham
1-2
Burnley
Maghoma (55')
Toral (33')
Toral (94')
Boyd (31'), Gray (77')
Ward (37'), Boyd (71'), Marney (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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