Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
We said: Real Sociedad 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg
Real Sociedad have been arguably the revelation of this Champions League campaign so far, sealing progression after just four games, and will hope for a favour from Benfica to boost their chances of winning the group heading into a matchday six encounter with Inter.
Salzburg dropping into the Europa League would give them a huge chance to be competitive, but it is likely to go down to the final matchday, as it will be a big ask for them to get a result here given Real's form.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.19% . A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.7%) . The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood .
Result Real Sociedad Draw Red Bull Salzburg 34.15% ( 0.02) 25.66% ( -0) 40.19% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0)
51.05% ( 0) 48.95% ( -0.01)
28.96% ( 0) 71.04% ( -0.01)
72.54% ( 0.01) 27.46% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.05% ( 0.02) 62.95% ( -0.02)
75.93% ( -0.01) 24.07% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.65% ( -0.01) 58.35% ( 0.01)
Real Sociedad 34.15%
Red Bull Salzburg 40.19%
Draw 25.66%
Real Sociedad Draw Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.15% 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66% 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.19%
How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Salzburg
Real Sociedad
Draw
Red Bull Salzburg
116
rhs 2.0
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