MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 23:16:48| >> :120:48426:48426:
Leipzig logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Real Madrid logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Gvardiol (13'), Nkunku (18'), Werner (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Junior (44'), Rodrygo (90+4' pen.)
Vazquez (49')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with RB Leipzig.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Real Madrid

Leipzig are in strong form at the moment and certainly have the tools to harm the reigning Spanish and European champions in this match. It is so difficult to back Real Madrid not to win at the moment, but this is a tough game for Ancelotti's side, and we can see the points being shared in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 0-1 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawReal Madrid
25.77% (0.023 0.02) 21.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 52.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.55% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.29% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (0.046000000000006 0.05)25.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)60.45% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (0.013999999999996 0.01)13.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)40.05% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 25.77%
    Real Madrid 52.71%
    Draw 21.52%
RB LeipzigDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.77%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.71%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid

RB Leipzig
18.0%
Draw
18.4%
Real Madrid
63.6%
689
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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