Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
11.62% ( -0.78) | 18.8% ( -0.39) | 69.58% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 45.79% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% ( -0.26) | 45.5% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% ( -0.25) | 67.83% ( 0.25) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.99% ( -1.5) | 48.01% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.76% ( -1.12) | 83.24% ( 1.13) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.09% ( 0.25) | 11.91% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.74% ( 0.53) | 37.26% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.62% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.8% | 0-2 @ 12.94% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 9.18% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.88% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 69.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |