Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Coritiba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 5-1 Coritiba
Thursday, September 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, September 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Coritiba |
66.16% ( -0.18) | 20.7% ( 0.29) | 13.13% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 44.42% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( -1.41) | 49.87% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -1.27) | 71.87% ( 1.27) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.76% ( -0.5) | 14.24% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.01% ( -0.98) | 41.99% ( 0.98) |
Coritiba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.79% ( -1.05) | 48.2% ( 1.04) |