Fluminense

2 - 1

Vasco

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.