MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:16:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Vasco da Gama

Gremio
1 - 0
Vasco

Suarez (46')
Alves (45+5'), Martins (48'), Nathan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (75')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Goias
Thursday, November 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-4 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
50.99% (0.619 0.62) 25.02% (0.107 0.11) 23.98% (-0.726 -0.73)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-1.074 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-1.045 -1.05)51.64% (1.046 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.917 -0.92)73.43% (0.916 0.92)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)20.26% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-0.257 -0.26)52.6% (0.257 0.26)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (-1.214 -1.21)36.38% (1.215 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-1.247 -1.25)73.16% (1.248 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 50.99%
    Vasco da Gama 23.98%
    Draw 25.02%
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.296 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23.98%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-0
Gremio
Vegetti (80')
Praxedes (47')

Reinaldo (45')
Dec 6, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 24
Gremio
4-0
Vasco
Souza (41', 53'), Pinares (55'), Silva (90+2' pen.)
Souza (58'), Silva (88')

Matos (62')
Aug 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Vasco
0-0
Gremio
Henrique (13'), Benitez (37'), Tenorio (74'), Andrey (86'), Ribamar (90')
Henrique (45+2'), Thaciano (81')
Oct 31, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 29
Vasco
1-3
Gremio
Guarin (10')
Marrony (12'), Castan (67')
Pepe (33'), Everton (54'), Luciano (68' pen.)
Michel (27'), Cortez (70')
Jul 13, 2019 9pm
Gremio
2-1
Vasco
Pepe (61', 86')
Rocha (35'), Thaciano (78')
Pikachu (15' pen.)
Richard (7'), Rossi (49'), Henriquez (68'), Graca (68')
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