Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
-0.47) 
0.3) 
