Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Western United had a probability of 38.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.09%) and 1-3 (4.87%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
38.18% ( -0.83) | 22.04% ( 0.22) | 39.77% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 69.2% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( -1.18) | 30.87% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( -1.41) | 52.23% ( 1.41) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( -0.86) | 17.14% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( -1.53) | 47.37% ( 1.52) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( -0.26) | 16.48% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( -0.46) | 46.2% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.29% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.56% Total : 39.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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