Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Western United has a probability of 37.84% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.6%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Western United win is 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.46%).
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
38.7% ( -3.2) | 23.46% ( -0.16) | 37.84% ( 3.36) |
Both teams to score 63.56% ( 1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.84% ( 1.26) | 38.16% ( -1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% ( 1.33) | 60.43% ( -1.33) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% ( -0.91) | 20.07% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.7% ( -1.48) | 52.3% ( 1.48) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( 2.29) | 20.48% ( -2.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( 3.5) | 52.95% ( -3.5) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.65) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.11% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
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