Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
42.41% ( -0.44) | 23.95% ( 0.01) | 33.63% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.74% ( 0.08) | 41.26% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.34% ( 0.08) | 63.65% ( -0.08) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( -0.16) | 19.7% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% ( -0.26) | 51.7% ( 0.26) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( 0.28) | 24.1% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( 0.4) | 58.38% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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