Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
29.99% ( -0.01) | 23.01% ( -0) | 46.99% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.63% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.68% ( 0.01) | 38.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.39% ( 0.01) | 60.6% ( -0.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% | 24.84% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.55% ( -0) | 59.44% ( -0) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% ( 0.01) | 16.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.47% ( 0.02) | 46.53% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.99% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 4.34% Total : 46.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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