Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
32.39% ( -0.08) | 22.57% ( -0.01) | 45.03% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 65.62% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.05% ( 0.02) | 34.94% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.07% ( 0.02) | 56.92% ( -0.03) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.21% ( -0.03) | 21.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45% ( -0.05) | 54.99% ( 0.05) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( 0.04) | 16.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.5% ( 0.08) | 45.49% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |