Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 24.06% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.43%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.45%).
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
24.06% ( -3) | 21.39% ( -0.59) | 54.54% ( 3.58) |
Both teams to score 63.04% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.56% ( -0.03) | 35.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.52% ( -0.03) | 57.47% ( 0.02) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -2.19) | 27.46% ( 2.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( -2.91) | 62.95% ( 2.9) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( 1.11) | 13.1% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.28% ( 2.21) | 39.72% ( -2.22) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.52) 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 3% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.71% Total : 24.06% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.59) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.59) 2-3 @ 4.21% 1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.32) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.39) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.18) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.19) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Macarthur | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 21 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 9 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 5 |
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