MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:28:34| >> :600:21197802:21197802:
Nacional
Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Penafiel

Nacional
0 - 0
Penafiel

FT

Batista (40'), Cardoso (64'), Teixeira (90+4')
Nacional win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Nacional and Penafiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Penafiel

All competitions
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Penafiel
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Penafiel had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Penafiel win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPenafiel
39.66% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.59%33.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)52.94% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (0.012999999999998 0.01)74.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)26.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)61.24% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.036999999999992 0.04)29.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)65.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 39.65%
    Penafiel 33.75%
    Draw 26.58%
NacionalDrawPenafiel
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.65%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.75%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!