Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Sudtirol
48.2% ( -0.01)	27.76% ( -0)	24.05% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.62% (

0.02)

61.37% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.73% (

0.01)

81.27% (

-0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

25.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

60.54%

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21% (

0.02)

41.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.75% (

0.02)

78.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Modena 48.19%

Sudtirol 24.05%

Draw 27.75%

Modena	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 14.58% 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.02% Total : 48.19%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 24.05%