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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 2
Al Raed

Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Leonardo (87'), Albulayhi (90+10')
Jesus (0'), Al Doseri (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Berkaoui (7'), Sobel (77')
Sayoud (39'), Sayoud (59'), Mitrovic (79'), Al Hawsawi (90+10'), Abeid (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Raed, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 0-1 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, November 30 at 1.20pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Raed

While Al-Hilal have experienced an unusual dip in form since the November international break, their record at home is still incredible and they have not lost to this opponent in almost a decade. Additionally, Al Raed's away form this season does little to inspire confidence in their chances of pulling off an upset here, so we are going for the hosts to secure a fairly comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 88.07%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 3.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Raed
88.07% (0.099999999999994 0.1) 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 3.61% (-0.1019 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.69% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.34% (-0.76599999999999 -0.77)24.66% (0.764 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.53% (-1.015 -1.02)44.47% (1.012 1.01)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.45% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)3.55% (0.1031 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.61% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)15.38% (0.341 0.34)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.3% (-1.203 -1.2)54.7% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.3% (-0.742 -0.74)87.7% (0.73899999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 88.06%
    Al Raed 3.61%
    Draw 8.32%
Al-HilalDrawAl Raed
3-0 @ 12.03% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.36 0.36)
4-0 @ 10.05% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-0 @ 6.71% (0.053 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.27 0.27)
4-1 @ 6.06% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-1 @ 4.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
6-1 @ 2.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.105 -0.11)
7-0 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.081 -0.08)
7-1 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 88.06%
1-1 @ 3.91% (0.025 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 1.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 8.32%
1-2 @ 1.18% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 3.61%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Raed

Al-Hilal
Draw
Al Raed
Al-Hilal
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
Al Raed
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Raed
Mitrovic (3', 29' pen.), Koulibaly (52')
Michael (40'), Albulayhi (42'), Lodi (61'), Al-Faraj (90+2')
Sayoud (90+6')
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Raed
0-4
Al-Hilal

Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
Gonzalez (78')
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad25194259243561
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal25183472284457
3Al-Nassr25156453272651
4Al Quadisiya25163637211651
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli25153748252348
6Al ShababAl Shabab25134847301743
7Al Ettifaq25105103236-435
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun259792724334
9Al Riyadh2596102735-833
10Al Kholood2594123447-1331
11Al Khaleej2586113037-730
12Damac2576123041-1127
13Al Orubah2582152250-2826
14Al Fayha25510101832-1425
15Al Fateh2564152749-2222
16Al Okhdood2555152540-1520
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2555153054-2420
18Al RaedAl Raed2553172846-1818


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