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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 0
Al-Taawoun

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Taawoun, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ain 4-5 Al-Hilal
Monday, October 21 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Damac 2-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, October 19 at 4.20pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al-Taawoun

Al-Hilal have looked almost unstoppable over the first two months of this season, and their home record is nothing short of incredible. With the form the Blue Waves are in, it feels unwise to back against them picking up another comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Taawoun
70.6% (0.286 0.29) 16.41% (0.121 0.12) 12.99% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-1.845 -1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (-1.69 -1.69)30.28% (1.692 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (-2.056 -2.06)51.53% (2.057 2.06)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.35% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)7.65% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.69% (-0.923 -0.92)27.3% (0.924 0.92)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-1.743 -1.74)35.75% (1.744 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-1.836 -1.84)72.52% (1.837 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 70.6%
    Al-Taawoun 12.99%
    Draw 16.41%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Taawoun
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.534 0.53)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.74% (0.322 0.32)
1-0 @ 7.03% (0.536 0.54)
4-1 @ 5.12% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.193 -0.19)
5-1 @ 2.63% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.56% (0.015 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.126 -0.13)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.069 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 7.23% (0.226 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.41%
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.81% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 12.99%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Taawoun

Al-Hilal
96.0%
Draw
4.0%
Al-Taawoun
0.0%
25
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Taawoun
0-3
Al-Hilal

Muath Fallatah (30'), Al-Ghamdi (38')
Mitrovic (40'), Abdul Hamid (70'), Al-Shehri (90+7')
Mitrovic (20'), Milinkovic-Savic (61'), Kanoo (90+5')
Nov 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al-Taawoun
Mitrovic (81'), Kanoo (90+9')
Tambakti (11'), Mitrovic (90+3')

Abdulmalik (13'), Muath Fallatah (76'), Khalid Al Abdulrazzaq (80'), Fahad Al Nasser (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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