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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Hamdallah (7')
Al-Juwayr (16'), Hoedt (32'), Al-Sharari (49')
Al-Sharari (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milinkovic-Savic (15', 62')
Tambakti (90+6')
Koulibaly (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-1 Al Shabab
Friday, November 22 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 3-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, November 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al Shabab have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks but are in for a tough 90 minutes against a star-studded Al-Hilal side who are unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 clashes.  Given the gulf in class and quality between the two teams, we are backing Jesus's men to come away with all three points at the Al-Shabab Club Stadium.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
25.93% (-0.838 -0.84) 20.68% (-0.203 -0.2) 53.38% (1.039 1.04)
Both teams to score 67.92% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01% (0.23399999999999 0.23)29.99% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82% (0.28100000000001 0.28)51.18% (-0.281 -0.28)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.419 -0.42)23.15% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.618 -0.62)57.03% (0.617 0.62)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.37 0.37)11.61% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.39% (0.795 0.8)36.61% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 25.93%
    Al-Hilal 53.38%
    Draw 20.68%
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 3.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.93%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.55% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.79% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.115 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.58% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.107 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.52% (0.071 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.38%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal

Al Shabab
0.0%
Draw
15.0%
Al-Hilal
85.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 25
Al Shabab
3-4
Al-Hilal
Al-Juwayr (3'), Al-Sibyani (64'), Saiss (78')
Santos (36')
Mitrovic (20' pen., 27'), Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Al-Dawsari (57')
Sep 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Shabab
Koulibaly (68'), Mitrovic (76')
Albulayhi (45+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136


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