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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 4
Al-Hilal


Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
Gonzalez (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 0-2 Al-Hilal

While the visitors did drop points in their last match, they were by far the more dominant side in the match, and we expect them to dictate this one as well. The hosts were very poor in their first two matches, and with very little threat shown in attack, we feel they may suffer their third consecutive shutout in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
11.28% (0.071 0.07) 17.97% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 70.74% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.45% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.69% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.083999999999996 0.08)65.09% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2% (0.181 0.18)46.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.67% (0.14 0.14)82.33% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 11.28%
    Al-Hilal 70.72%
    Draw 17.97%
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.28%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.97%
0-2 @ 12.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Hilal

Al Raed
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Al-Hilal
78.9%
19
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad5401156912
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal4400123912
3Al-Nassr5320113811
4Al Quadisiya531151410
5Al ShababAl Shabab43013129
6Al Ettifaq43014409
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli52127527
8Al Riyadh42118807
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun42024316
10Al RaedAl Raed41127434
11Al Kholood411257-24
12Al Orubah411257-24
13Al Khaleej511327-54
14Al WahdaAl Wahda5113614-84
15Damac410379-23
16Al Fateh410326-43
17Al Okhdood401317-61
18Al Fayha4013110-91


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