Al-Hilal are the big favourites to claim a first-leg advantage, and we are expecting the Saudi Arabian side to triumph on Saturday. Urawa Red Diamonds need to stay in the contest ahead of the second leg, but they could have a mountain to climb in the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
45.03% ( -2.01)	25.28% ( 0.18)	29.69% ( 1.83)

Both teams to score 54.57% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18% (

0.25)

48.82% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08% (

0.23)

70.92% (

-0.23)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

-0.79)

21.68% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

-1.22)

54.82% (

1.22)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

1.47)

30.32% (

-1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

1.72)

66.5% (

-1.72)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 45.02%

Urawa Red Diamonds 29.69%

Draw 25.28%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.69%