Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2023 at 4pm UK

Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
1 - 3
Al-Hilal

Bguir (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Malcom (31', 55', 77')
Albulayhi (47')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Al-Hilal
Saturday, May 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

The hosts are coming off the back of a poor season, and their preseason friendly against Sepahan did little to inspire much confidence for their chances in this match. With several big-name players arriving over the summer for the visitors, we expect that they will get the season started with a win and a clean sheet in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Abha win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Abha	Draw	Al-Hilal
17.74% ( -0.05)	22.06% ( 0.04)	60.2% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.95% (

-0.23)

47.05% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.71% (

-0.22)

69.29% (

0.22)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82% (

-0.2)

40.18% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.18% (

-0.19)

76.82% (

0.19)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

-0.07)

15.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.17% (

-0.14)

43.84% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Abha 17.74%

Al-Hilal 60.19%

Draw 22.06%

Abha	Draw	Al-Hilal
1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.74%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.19%