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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
1 - 3
Al-Hilal

Bguir (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malcom (31', 55', 77')
Albulayhi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Al-Hilal
Saturday, May 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League

We said: Abha 0-2 Al-Hilal

The hosts are coming off the back of a poor season, and their preseason friendly against Sepahan did little to inspire much confidence for their chances in this match. With several big-name players arriving over the summer for the visitors, we expect that they will get the season started with a win and a clean sheet in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Abha win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
AbhaDrawAl-Hilal
17.74% (-0.055 -0.05) 22.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 60.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.235 -0.23)47.05% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.22 -0.22)69.29% (0.224 0.22)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)40.18% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (-0.187 -0.19)76.82% (0.191 0.19)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)15.2% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (-0.136 -0.14)43.84% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Abha 17.74%
    Al-Hilal 60.19%
    Draw 22.06%
AbhaDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.74%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.81% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.19%

How you voted: Abha vs Al-Hilal

Abha
6.9%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
93.1%
29
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95


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