Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ural Yekaterinburg in this match.