Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.