Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.