Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.