Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.