Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
