Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Southend United |
29.08% ( 0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.01) | 43.4% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.44% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.13% ( -0.03) | 57.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.41% ( -0.02) | 78.59% ( 0.02) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.49% | 35.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.73% ( 0) | 72.27% ( 0) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( -0.03) | 26.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% ( -0.04) | 61.62% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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