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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 32
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadowbank
Southend United

Dorking
1 - 0
Southend

Bowerman (29')
Gallagher (62'), Moore (90+7'), Prior (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Southend United

Southend have won both of their previous two meetings with Dorking, but after losing their last six matches, we think that they may be content with picking up a point from Tuesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawSouthend United
25.28% (2.806 2.81) 23.19% (1.092 1.09) 51.52% (-3.901 -3.9)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (-2.054 -2.05)42.69% (2.051 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-2.074 -2.07)65.1% (2.07 2.07)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (1.227 1.23)30.42% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (1.434 1.43)66.63% (-1.437 -1.44)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-2.063 -2.06)16.64% (2.06 2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (-3.825 -3.83)46.48% (3.822 3.82)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 25.28%
    Southend United 51.52%
    Draw 23.19%
Dorking WanderersDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.547 0.55)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.715 0.72)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.53 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.294 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 25.28%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.447 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.414 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.525 -0.52)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.624 -0.62)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.6% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Dorking vs Southend

Dorking Wanderers
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Southend United
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1180323111224
2York City117311861224
3Forest Green RoversForest Green116321991021
4Rochdale116231991020
5Gateshead106221914520
6Oldham AthleticOldham115511510520
7Eastleigh116231915420
8Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red114431912716
9Sutton UnitedSutton114431715216
10Halifax TownHalifax11443108216
11AltrinchamAltrincham114341314-115
12Woking114341214-215
13Southend UnitedSouthend113531614214
14Yeovil TownYeovil114251213-114
15Solihull MoorsSolihull114251317-414
16Tamworth104241117-614
17Aldershot TownAldershot113441616013
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool11344710-313
19Braintree TownBraintree11245612-610
20Fylde112361322-99
21Boston UnitedBoston112361120-99
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead112271219-78
23WealdstoneWealdstone11146715-87
24Ebbsfleet11128823-155


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