National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadowbank

Dorking
3 - 1
Maidenhead

Prior (27', 48'), Taylor (58')
Fuller (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adams (80' pen.)
Adams (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Maidenhead United

The sides shared the spoils when they met earlier in the season, and we think Saturday's match will have a similar outcome, with both teams struggling for form. Dorking may only have amassed seven points in their last 10 games, but they are unbeaten at home in their last three outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Maidenhead United
42.05%	24.13%	33.81%

Both teams to score 60.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94%

42.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54%

64.45%

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8%

20.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5%

52.49%

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63%

24.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23%

58.77%

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 42.05%

Maidenhead United 33.81%

Draw 24.13%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Maidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.97% Total : 42.05%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 7.85% 0-1 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.81%