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Boreham Wood
National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
Southend United

Boreham Wood
1 - 0
Southend

Brunt (74' pen.)
Marsh (63'), Sousa (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Husin (73'), Kensdale (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Boreham Wood and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boreham Wood

All competitions
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Southend United

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Southend United

 Fresh off the back of ending their seven-game winless run in the league, Boreham Wood will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to get their promotion race back on track. The hosts take on a Southend United side who have suffered a drop-off in form and we predict that they will build on last week's victory over Oldham Athletic and secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.

Result
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
49.58% (6.098 6.1) 25.9% (-0.811 -0.81) 24.52% (-5.287 -5.29)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-1.459 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)54.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.93% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (2.855 2.86)22.05% (-2.855 -2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (4.14 4.14)55.38% (-4.141 -4.14)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-4.317 -4.32)37.52% (4.317 4.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-4.491 -4.49)74.3% (4.49 4.49)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 49.57%
    Southend United 24.52%
    Draw 25.9%
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 12.5% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (1.465 1.47)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.46 0.46)
3-0 @ 4.77% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.589 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.514 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.346 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.57%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.977 -0.98)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-1.05 -1.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.604 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.548 -0.55)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Boreham Wood vs Southend

Boreham Wood
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southend United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Southend
0-1
Boreham Wood

(90+6')
Newton (28')
Ndlovu (33'), Newton (45')
Ndlovu (72'), Kelly-Evans (89')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Southend
1-0
Boreham Wood
Bridge (77')
Cardwell (54'), Dunne (57')

Mafuta (47'), Orsi (81'), Fyfield (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Boreham Wood
1-0
Southend
Marsh (83')
Mafuta (28'), Fyfield (90+1')

Ogogo (64'), Ferguson (70')
Ogogo (64')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Boreham Wood
2-2
Southend
 Boreham Wood win 4-3 on penalties
Fyfield (8'), Ricketts (51'), Tshimanga (93' pen.)
Ilesanmi (53'), Rhead (73'), Mafuta (76'), Ashmore (96'), Thomas (104')
Goodship (59'), Egbri (63'), Olayinka (100')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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