National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 0
Southend

Linney (80' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralph (47'), Taylor (49'), Miley (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Altrincham 1-0 Southend United

Altrincham still have plenty to play for this season in the National League and the FA Trophy, so they will be highly motivated on Saturday to earn three points. Southend's playoff dreams are all but dead, and we cannot envisage them earning a first maximum of the month in Cheshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Southend United
33.95% ( 0)	24.93% ( 0.01)	41.12% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.56% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.27% (

-0.04)

45.73% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.95% (

-0.04)

68.04% (

0.04)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.02)

26.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.02)

61.06% (

0.02)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.03)

22.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.04)

55.6% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 33.95%

Southend United 41.12%

Draw 24.92%

Altrincham	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 33.95%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.12%