National League | Gameweek 24

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 1
Yeovil

Potter (70'), Kabamba (73')
Potter (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reckord (75')
Maguire-Drew (23'), Johnson (45+2'), Reckord (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Barnet and Yeovil Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Yeovil Town

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Yeovil
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnet 1-0 Yeovil Town

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect a cagey affair that could go right to the wire on Tuesday. On this occasion, Barnet will do just enough to claim three points and give themselves a further cushion inside the playoff spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Yeovil Town
58.49% ( 0.04)	22.52% ( -0.02)	18.99% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

0.02)

47.1% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

0.02)

69.34% (

-0.02)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

0.02)

15.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

0.04)

44.92% (

-0.04)

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22% (

-0.02)

38.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.02)

75.51% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Barnet 58.49%

Yeovil Town 18.99%

Draw 22.52%

Barnet	Draw	Yeovil Town
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.49%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.99%