Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
51.29% ( -0.05) | 24.28% ( 0.06) | 24.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( -0.26) | 48.24% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( -0.23) | 70.39% ( 0.23) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( -0.12) | 18.81% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.77% ( -0.2) | 50.23% ( 0.2) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% ( -0.15) | 34.12% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( -0.16) | 70.81% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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