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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Southend United
National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 0
Boston

Cardwell (2'), Scott-Morriss (52')
Miley (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leak (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Southend United and Boston United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 0-4 Forest Green
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Southend United 2-0 Boston United

While Southend have been disappointing in the early stages of the season, they have at least kept two clean sheets, and they could keep their third on Tuesday. Though Boston have done well to reach the National League, they still appear to require some adjustment to their new division and come into the clash as underdogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southend United.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawBoston United
54.6% (0.125 0.13) 24.07% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.148 -0.15)50.51% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (-0.131 -0.13)72.43% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)49.53% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)38.28% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.203 -0.2)75.04% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 54.6%
    Boston United 21.32%
    Draw 24.07%
Southend UnitedDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Southend vs Boston

Southend United
77.4%
Draw
12.9%
Boston United
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2005 3pm
Oct 8, 2004 3pm
Southend
2-1
Boston
Gower (15'), Gray (22')
Flahavan (45')
Kirk (49')
Bennett (26'), Thomas (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
7Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
8Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
9Rochdale2010372819933
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth207582334-1126
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349


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