Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Barnet |
41.11% ( -0.77) | 24.62% ( 0.04) | 34.27% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( 0) | 44.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( 0) | 66.6% ( -0) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0.36) | 21.55% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.38% ( -0.55) | 54.62% ( 0.55) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( 0.43) | 25.12% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.17% ( 0.59) | 59.83% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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