Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
26.11% ( -0.28) | 24.64% ( -0.04) | 49.25% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.64% ( -0.04) | 48.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% ( -0.03) | 70.49% ( 0.03) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( -0.24) | 32.79% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( -0.27) | 69.35% ( 0.27) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( 0.12) | 19.67% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% ( 0.19) | 51.65% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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