Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Fylde |
40.01% ( 1.81) | 26.75% ( 0.22) | 33.24% ( -2.03) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.32% ( -1.2) | 53.68% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.83% ( -1.02) | 75.17% ( 1.02) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.44) | 26.31% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( 0.59) | 61.44% ( -0.59) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( -1.88) | 30.35% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( -2.3) | 66.54% ( 2.3) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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