We said: Oldham Athletic 3-2 Fylde
Fylde have demonstrated that they are a capable attacking side, but at the same time they have been weak defensively so far this season.
Oldham will feel they can capitalise on the visitors' defensive frailty, though they could concede several chances given they have been poor at Boundary Park in recent matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.