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Concord Rangers
National League South | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
0 - 1
Farnborough Town

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bloomfield (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawFarnborough Town
14.59% (0.823 0.82) 19.12% (-0.188 -0.19) 66.29% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.48% (2.909 2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (2.713 2.71)39.83% (-2.714 -2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (2.759 2.76)62.18% (-2.761 -2.76)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (2.882 2.88)39.79% (-2.881 -2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (2.552 2.55)76.46% (-2.553 -2.55)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.611 0.61)11.17% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (1.325 1.33)35.66% (-1.326 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 14.59%
    Farnborough Town 66.29%
    Draw 19.12%
Concord RangersDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 4.14% (0.238 0.24)
1-0 @ 4.1% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 1.89% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.209 0.21)
3-1 @ 1.27% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 14.59%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.364 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.583 -0.58)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.12%
0-2 @ 10.67% (-0.82 -0.82)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.74% (-1.008 -1.01)
0-3 @ 7.8% (-0.394 -0.39)
1-3 @ 7.19% (0.21 0.21)
0-4 @ 4.27% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.94% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.341 0.34)
0-5 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.82% (0.226 0.23)
1-5 @ 1.73% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 66.29%

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