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Stuttgart
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
1 - 1
Sparta Prague

Millot (7')
Stenzel (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kairinen (32')
Kairinen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Stuttgart and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-3 Olomouc
Friday, September 27 at 6.30pm in Czech Liga

We said: Stuttgart 3-1 Sparta Prague

Stuttgart do not do boring football matches, with a staggering 37 goals across their eight competitive games so far this season, and the neutrals should be in for an exciting watch once again this week. Sparta's surprise weekend defeat may still be playing on the minds of Friis's troops, though, and we can only envisage the hosts triumphing over the confidence-depleted visitors on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawSparta Prague
55.02% (0.216 0.22) 21.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 23.77% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 63.39% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)34.82% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)56.79% (0.573 0.57)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.108 -0.11)12.75% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.99% (-0.219 -0.22)39% (0.217 0.22)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-0.486 -0.49)27.35% (0.483 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)62.8% (0.632 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 55.02%
    Sparta Prague 23.77%
    Draw 21.2%
StuttgartDrawSparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.132 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Sparta Prague

Stuttgart
81.9%
Draw
11.2%
Sparta Prague
6.9%
304
rhs 2.0
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