FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
Kidderminster2 - 0Buxton
Lambert (29'), Morgan-Smith (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Buxton.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Buxton |
| 56.6% | 23.72% | 19.68% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.92% | 51.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% | 72.94% |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.37% | 48.63% |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.66% | 40.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.04% | 76.96% |
| Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers 56.59%
Buxton 19.68%
Draw 23.72%
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.57% 4-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.97% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.68% |
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
