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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
42.39% ( -0.41) | 26.02% ( 0.08) | 31.59% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.85% ( -0.24) | 51.15% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27% ( -0.21) | 72.99% ( 0.21) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( -0.31) | 23.94% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% ( -0.44) | 58.16% ( 0.44) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.81% ( 0.1) | 30.18% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.66% ( 0.12) | 66.34% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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