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Watford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Manchester United logo

Watford
4 - 1
Man Utd

King (28'), Sarr (44'), Pedro (90+2'), Dennis (90+6')
Louza (45'), Dennis (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
van de Beek (50')
McTominay (19'), Maguire (62')
Maguire (69')

Preview: Watford vs. Manchester United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester United will be bidding to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they make the trip to Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon to face Watford.

The Red Devils suffered a 2-0 defeat to Manchester City before the international break, while Watford, who are just outside the relegation zone in England's top flight, lost 1-0 at Arsenal in their last contest.


Match preview

 Watford manager Claudio Ranieri, November 7, 2021© Reuters

Watford have won three, drawn one and lost seven of their 11 Premier League matches this season to collect 10 points, which has left them in 17th position in the table, two points clear of 18th-placed Burnley, and it would not be a surprise to see the club in and around the bottom three for much of the campaign.

The Hornets will enter Saturday's contest off the back of successive 1-0 defeats to Southampton and Arsenal, but new head coach Claudio Ranieri managed to lead the team to a stunning 5-2 success at Everton in his second match at the helm on October 23.

Watford actually started their 2021-22 Premier League campaign with a 3-2 home success over Aston Villa, but they have picked up just one point from their last four league fixtures at Vicarage Road, losing to Wolverhampton Wanderers, Liverpool and Southampton during a worrying run.

Ranieri's side are now facing four difficult matches in quick succession, hosting Man United, Chelsea and Manchester City, in addition to visiting Leicester City before the end of the month.

The Hornets will certainly not be panicking, though, as there is still a lot of football to be played this season, and they ran out 2-0 winners when Man United last visited Vicarage Road in the league in December 2019.

Manchester United's Edinson Cavani celebrates scoring against Tottenham Hotspur on October 30, 2021© Reuters

Man United, meanwhile, suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Man City in their last match on November 6; the result increased the pressure on head coach Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, but the Norwegian has kept his job and will lead the team into Saturday's contest at Vicarage Road.

The Red Devils are actually top of their Champions League group ahead of next week's key clash away to Villarreal, but they have lost three of their last four in the Premier League and won just one of their last six to drop down the table into sixth position.

Man United are only five points off the top four and would ease the pressure on Solskjaer with a win this weekend, but the treble-winning striker will only ever be one bad result away from another full-blown crisis.

The 20-time English champions are entering a huge period in the league, taking on Chelsea and Arsenal in their two matches after this one, but they can take confidence from their impressive performance away to Tottenham Hotspur at the end of October, recording a 3-0 victory over the North London club.

Man United might have seen their long unbeaten away run in the league end at Leicester on October 16, but they have won three of their last four on the road in England's top flight and will be fired up to bounce back from their derby defeat in Hertfordshire this weekend.

Watford Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Manchester United Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Manchester United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Raphael Varane in action for Manchester United on August 29, 2021© Reuters

Watford boss Ranieri said during Thursday's press conference that Ozan Tufan will need to be assessed, having picked up a knock while away with Turkey on international duty.

Francisco Sierralta is definitely out with the hamstring problem that he suffered during his time with Chile, while Christian Kabasele, Ken Sema, Kwadwo Baah and Peter Etebo are still on the treatment table.

The Hornets will also be missing Juraj Kucka through suspension, meaning that former Man United midfielder Tom Cleverley should come into the side, while there might also be a spot for Joao Pedro, with the Brazilian potentially operating behind another former Red Devils player in Joshua King.

As for Man United, Raphael Varane and Edinson Cavani will definitely miss the contest through injury, while Paul Pogba, who would have missed this game regardless through suspension, is recovering from a thigh issue in Dubai.

Scott McTominay has recovered from the illness that forced him to leave the Scotland camp, though, and Luke Shaw is also expected to be cleared to play despite missing England's recent World Cup qualifiers with the head injury that he suffered against Man City.

Marcus Rashford and Mason Greenwood could provide the support to Cristiano Ronaldo, with Solskjaer unlikely to stick with a 3-5-2 formation for this match.

Jadon Sancho, Jesse Lingard and Donny van de Beek are all pushing to be involved from the start but might have to accept positions on the bench once again.

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Femenia, Cathcart, N'Koulou, Rose; Sarr, Cleverley, Sissoko, Dennis; Pedro; King

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Maguire, Shaw; McTominay, Fred; Greenwood, Fernandes, Rashford; Ronaldo


SM words green background

We say: Watford 1-2 Manchester United

Only a win will be good enough for Man United amid a poor run of form, and we are backing the 20-time English champions to triumph here. It is hard to predict a clean sheet for the Red Devils considering their struggles defensively, though, so we have tipped Watford to score in a narrow defeat to Solskjaer's side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Watford vs Man Utd

Watford
14.8%
Draw
11.8%
Manchester United
73.4%
357
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Will Hughes celebrates scoring for Watford against Derby County in the Championship on February 19, 2021
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15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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