Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 1
Lille

Lopes (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diakite (52')
Andre (15'), Gudmundsson (26'), Gomes (32'), Ounas (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Of course, Troyes will be desperate to give their fans something to cheer about on the final day of the campaign, having failed to win any of their previous 20 league matches, but Lille are expected to heap more misery on the relegated outfit while securing Europa League football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lille
11.4% ( -1.3)	17.87% ( 0.33)	70.73% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 48.18% (

-5.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.08% (

-5.06)

41.92% (

5.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.67% (

-5.28)

64.32% (

5.28)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.9% (

-5.46)

46.1% (

5.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.2% (

-4.57)

81.8% (

4.56)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

-1.11)

10.61% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.59% (

-2.55)

34.41% (

2.55)

Score Analysis

Troyes 11.4%

Lille 70.72%

Draw 17.87%

Troyes	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.4%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.03) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.87%	0-2 @ 12.3% ( 1.61) 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 1.88) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 9.2% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.43) 0-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 4% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.64) 0-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.79% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.45) Other @ 4.01% Total : 70.72%