MX23RW : Saturday, June 15 05:49:26| >> :600:651285:651285:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Milan logo

Dortmund
0 - 0
AC Milan


Schlotterbeck (19'), Can (25'), Hummels (81')
FT

Reijnders (23'), Musah (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 AC Milan

Unbeaten on home soil since August 2022, Dortmund can prolong their hot streak at Signal Iduna Park against a depleted Milan team, whose midfield options are severely limited at the minute. The Rossoneri already struggle for prolific attacking displays in the Champions League, and while making the net ripple domestically is never normally an issue for Pioli's team, their powers should wane against a Dortmund side who possess plenty of defensive wherewithal in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAC Milan
49.7% (-0.246 -0.25) 22.66% (0.191 0.19) 27.64% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.81% (-0.874 -0.87)38.19% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.53% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)60.46% (0.938 0.94)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-0.404 -0.4)15.63% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)44.65% (0.758 0.76)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)26.32% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.557 -0.56)61.45% (0.557 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 49.7%
    AC Milan 27.64%
    Draw 22.65%
Borussia DortmundDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.212 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.64%

How you voted: Dortmund vs AC Milan

Borussia Dortmund
49.6%
Draw
22.7%
AC Milan
27.7%
256
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2017 12.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AC Milan
1-3
Dortmund
Bacca (24')
Bacca (26')
Sahin (16'), Aubameyang (20' pen., 62')
Papastathopoulos (60')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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